Budučnost Krušik vs Stepojevac Vaga: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Park Pećina, Valjevo
The Footlab model makes Budučnost Krušik the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Stepojevac Vaga. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Budučnost Krušik vs Stepojevac Vaga?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Budučnost Krušik (1,479) and Stepojevac Vaga (1,451).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budučnost Krušik have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Stepojevac Vaga have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Takovo(home) | 1-1 | Srpska Liga - West |
| May 31, 2026 | FK Polimlje Prijepolje(away) | 3-0 | Srpska Liga - West |
| May 23, 2026 | FK Mladi Radnik 1940 Radinac(home) | 1-0 | Srpska Liga - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Sloga Požega(away) | 1-1 | Srpska Liga - West |
| May 9, 2026 | FK Radnički Valjevo(home) | 1-3 | Srpska Liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | FAP(home) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| May 17, 2026 | Tekstilac Odžaci(away) | 1-4 | Prva Liga |
| May 12, 2026 | FK Trayal(home) | 2-0 | Prva Liga |
| May 7, 2026 | Dinamo Jug(away) | 0-2 | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Budučnost Krušik score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Stepojevac Vaga score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budučnost Krušik | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Stepojevac Vaga | 0.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Budučnost Krušik vs Stepojevac Vaga?
- The Footlab model makes Budučnost Krušik the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Stepojevac Vaga.
- Where and when is Budučnost Krušik vs Stepojevac Vaga played?
- Budučnost Krušik vs Stepojevac Vaga is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Park Pećina, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.