Mokra Gora vs FAP: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadiumi Mala Marakana, Zubin Potok
The Footlab model makes FAP the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Mokra Gora. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mokra Gora vs FAP?
FAP starts as the favourite with a 229-point Elo edge (1,551 vs 1,322).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mokra Gora have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; FAP have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Sep 14, 2022 | FK Zlatibor(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Sep 8, 2021 | Buducnost Dobanovci(home) | 3-3 | Cup |
| Sep 9, 2020 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Trepča(away) | 0-2 | Srpska Liga - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 3-1 | Prva Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Stepojevac Vaga(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| May 17, 2026 | FK Trayal(away) | 3-0 | Prva Liga |
| May 12, 2026 | Kabel Novi Sad(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| May 7, 2026 | Dubočica(away) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Mokra Gora score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FAP score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mokra Gora | 0.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| FAP | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mokra Gora vs FAP?
- The Footlab model makes FAP the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Mokra Gora.
- Where and when is Mokra Gora vs FAP played?
- Mokra Gora vs FAP is played on September 2, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadiumi Mala Marakana, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.