Bula vs South Melbourne: prediction and stats
OFC Pro LeagueGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on May 4, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes South Melbourne the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Bula. The most likely score is 1-1. If South Melbourne wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bula vs South Melbourne?
South Melbourne is a heavy favourite: 1,890 Elo points against 1,525, a 365-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bula vs South Melbourne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bula
Not enough data to predict the Bula lineup.
South Melbourne
4-3-3- 7D. Yoo
- 16A. Cocks
- 11Yuki Uchida
- 21S. Pasquali
- 27J. Painter-Andrews
- 8P. Retre
- 4Marco Jankovic
- 17T. Giannakopoulos
- 23J. Eliopoulos
- 3Jordan Lampard
- 1Javier López
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bula have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; South Melbourne have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Vanuatu United(home) | 1-2 | OFC Pro League |
| May 12, 2026 | South Melbourne(away) | 2-4 | OFC Pro League |
| May 9, 2026 | Auckland FC 2(away) | 0-2 | OFC Pro League |
| May 6, 2026 | South Island United(home) | 0-1 | OFC Pro League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Auckland FC 2(home) | 2-1 | OFC Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sutherland Sharks(away) | 1-0 | Australian Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Melbourne Victory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Lions(home) | 3-1 | Australia Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oakleigh Cannons(away) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Heidelberg United(home) | 2-1 | Victoria NPL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Bula wins, 1 draw, 2 South Melbourne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | South Melbourne 4-2 Bula | OFC Pro League |
| Apr 15, 2026 | South Melbourne 2-0 Bula | OFC Pro League |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Bula 1-1 South Melbourne | OFC Pro League |
Last archived meeting: South Melbourne vs Bula on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bula score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; South Melbourne score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bula | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| South Melbourne | 1.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bula sit 3rd in OFC Pro League (21 points from 14 matches) and South Melbourne sit 2nd (25 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2026 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | South Melbourne | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 18 | 25 |
| 3 | Bula | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 21 |
A question about Bula vs South Melbourne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bula vs South Melbourne?
- The Footlab AI model makes South Melbourne the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Bula.
- Where and when is Bula vs South Melbourne played?
- Bula vs South Melbourne is played on May 4, 2027 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the OFC Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 1, 2027BulavsHekari United
- May 1, 2027Solomon KingsvsSouth Melbourne
- May 2, 2027South Island UnitedvsTahiti United
- May 2, 2027Vanuatu UnitedvsAuckland
- May 4, 2027Hekari UnitedvsSolomon Kings
- May 5, 2027AucklandvsSouth Island United
- May 5, 2027Vanuatu UnitedvsTahiti United
- May 7, 2027Hekari UnitedvsSouth Melbourne