Bulgaria vs Serbia: result 1-1 and analysis
Euro Championship - QualificationQualifying Round - 4Kick-off on June 20, 2023 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Full time
What was the result of Bulgaria vs Serbia?
Bulgaria and Serbia drew 1-1 on June 20, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 47′K. DespodovBulgaria
- 90′D. LazovićSerbia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bulgaria have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Serbia have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2023 | Lithuania(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Hungary(away) | 0-3 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Montenegro(home) | 0-1 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Luxembourg(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 16, 2022 | Cyprus(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2023 | Jordan(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 27, 2023 | Montenegro(away) | 2-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Lithuania(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Jan 26, 2023 | USA(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Switzerland(home) | 2-3 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Bulgaria score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Serbia score 2.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Serbia | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bulgaria sit 5th in Euro Championship - Qualification (4 points from 8 matches) and Serbia sit 2nd (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Serbia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy