Burgan vs Shamiya: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Abdullah Al-Khalifa Stadium, Madīnat al-Kuwayt (Kuwait City)
The Footlab AI model makes Burgan the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Shamiya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burgan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,746 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgan vs Shamiya?
On Elo ratings, Burgan has 1,251 points and Shamiya 1,182.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burgan vs Shamiya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burgan
Not enough data to predict the Burgan lineup.
Shamiya
Not enough data to predict the Shamiya lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 09:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgan have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Shamiya have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Yarmouk(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Al Jazira(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Sporty(away) | 4-2 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Shamiya(home) | 4-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Khaitan(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Yarmouk(home) | 0-3 | Division 1 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al Jazira(away) | 1-6 | Division 1 |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Ittihad Al-Shorta(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Khaitan(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Burgan(away) | 1-4 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Burgan wins, 1 draw, 0 Shamiya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Burgan 4-1 Shamiya | Division 1 |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Shamiya 2-2 Burgan | Division 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Burgan 4-2 Shamiya | Division 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Burgan score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shamiya score 0.7 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgan | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Shamiya | 0.7 | 2.8 | 1 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgan sit 5th in Division 1 (1 point from 2 matches) and Shamiya sit 7th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Burgan | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Shamiya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Burgan vs Shamiya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgan vs Shamiya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgan the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Shamiya.
- Where and when is Burgan vs Shamiya played?
- Burgan vs Shamiya is played on November 4, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Abdullah Al-Khalifa Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.