Match

Whitehawk vs Wingate & Finchley: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Enclosed Ground, Brighton, East Sussex

WhitehawkWingate & Finchley

The Footlab model makes Wingate & Finchley the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Whitehawk vs Wingate & Finchley?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Whitehawk (1,661) and Wingate & Finchley (1,725).

Whitehawk win34 %
Draw26 %
Wingate & Finchley win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitehawk have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Wingate & Finchley have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Whitehawk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chatham Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Aveley(away)2-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Lewes(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Welling United(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Potters Bar Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Wingate & Finchley
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Whyteleafe(away)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026Carshalton Athletic(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Cray Wanderers(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Aveley(home)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Whitehawk win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Wingate & Finchley win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Whitehawk 1-1 Wingate & FinchleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 23, 2025Wingate & Finchley 0-1 WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian
Mar 1, 2025Wingate & Finchley 3-1 WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian
Nov 16, 2024Whitehawk 0-2 Wingate & FinchleyNon League Premier - Isthmian
Jan 13, 2024Wingate & Finchley 5-1 WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 19, 2023Whitehawk 3-3 Wingate & FinchleyNon League Premier - Isthmian

Last archived meeting: Whitehawk vs Wingate & Finchley on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Wingate & Finchley score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Whitehawk0.92.228/159/15
Wingate & Finchley1.11.539/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Whitehawk sit 19th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Wingate & Finchley sit 16th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Wingate & Finchley4121455
19Whitehawk4013281

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Whitehawk vs Wingate & Finchley?
The Footlab model makes Wingate & Finchley the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Whitehawk.
Where and when is Whitehawk vs Wingate & Finchley played?
Whitehawk vs Wingate & Finchley is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Enclosed Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Whitehawk and Wingate & Finchley

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