Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, Maldon, Essex
The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Maldon & Tiptree (1,868) and Carshalton Athletic (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maldon & Tiptree have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leatherhead(away) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-6 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Walthamstow(away) | 2-3 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stanway Rovers(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Whyteleafe(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Maldon & Tiptree win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Carshalton Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | Maldon & Tiptree 0-1 Carshalton Athletic | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic on Nov 26, 2011
How many goals should we expect?
Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maldon & Tiptree | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Carshalton Athletic | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carshalton Athletic | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 12 | Maldon & Tiptree | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Carshalton Athletic.
- Where and when is Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic played?
- Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026LeatherheadvsSt Albans City
- Nov 14, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsDulwich Hamlet
- Nov 14, 2026WhitehawkvsWingate & Finchley
- Nov 14, 2026AveleyvsEnfield Town
- Nov 14, 2026Brentwood TownvsRamsgate
- Nov 14, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsCray Wanderers
- Nov 14, 2026WhyteleafevsChatham Town
- Nov 14, 2026CheshuntvsDartford