Match

Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, Maldon, Essex

Maldon & TiptreeCarshalton Athletic

The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Carshalton Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Maldon & Tiptree (1,868) and Carshalton Athletic (1,792).

Maldon & Tiptree win51 %
Draw23 %
Carshalton Athletic win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maldon & Tiptree have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Carshalton Athletic have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maldon & Tiptree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Leatherhead(away)4-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Dartford(home)1-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Aveley(home)1-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-6Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Walthamstow(away)2-3Non League Div One - Isthmian North
Carshalton Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stanway Rovers(away)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Cray Wanderers(home)2-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 10, 2026Wingate & Finchley(home)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Whyteleafe(away)2-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 1, 2026Dover(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Maldon & Tiptree win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Carshalton Athletic win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 26, 2011Maldon & Tiptree 0-1 Carshalton AthleticFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic on Nov 26, 2011

How many goals should we expect?

Maldon & Tiptree score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Carshalton Athletic score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maldon & Tiptree1.91.368/1510/15
Carshalton Athletic1.81.2510/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maldon & Tiptree sit 12th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (6 points from 4 matches) and Carshalton Athletic sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Carshalton Athletic44008212
12Maldon & Tiptree4202696

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic?
The Footlab model makes Maldon & Tiptree the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Carshalton Athletic.
Where and when is Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic played?
Maldon & Tiptree vs Carshalton Athletic is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Drewitt-Barlow Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Maldon & Tiptree and Carshalton Athletic

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