Burgess Hill Town vs Dulwich Hamlet: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Dulwich Hamlet. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Dulwich Hamlet?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Burgess Hill Town (1,795) and Dulwich Hamlet (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dulwich Hamlet have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wingate & Finchley(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cheshunt(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maldon & Tiptree(home) | 6-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Burgess Hill Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dulwich Hamlet win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet 2-0 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Burgess Hill Town 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
Last archived meeting: Dulwich Hamlet vs Burgess Hill Town on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dulwich Hamlet score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Dulwich Hamlet | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Dulwich Hamlet sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dulwich Hamlet | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Dulwich Hamlet?
- The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Dulwich Hamlet.
- Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Dulwich Hamlet played?
- Burgess Hill Town vs Dulwich Hamlet is played on September 15, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 14, 2026AveleyvsWingate & Finchley
- Sep 15, 2026LeatherheadvsWhyteleafe
- Sep 15, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsChatham Town
- Sep 15, 2026WhitehawkvsThree Bridges
- Sep 15, 2026Brentwood TownvsStanway Rovers
- Sep 15, 2026RamsgatevsMaldon & Tiptree
- Sep 15, 2026Cray WanderersvsSt Albans City
- Sep 15, 2026Enfield TownvsDartford