Burgess Hill Town vs Whitehawk: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Whitehawk?
Burgess Hill Town starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Whitehawk have 0, 5 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Potters Bar Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Whitehawk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Whitehawk 3-1 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Burgess Hill Town 2-2 Whitehawk | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Burgess Hill Town 0-1 Whitehawk | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Oct 11, 2022 | Whitehawk 0-0 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Burgess Hill Town 1-0 Whitehawk | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Whitehawk 0-0 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
Last archived meeting: Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Whitehawk | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Whitehawk sit 19th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Whitehawk?
- The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Whitehawk.
- Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Whitehawk played?
- Burgess Hill Town vs Whitehawk is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027Eastbourne BoroughvsLewes
- Jan 2, 2027St Albans CityvsCheshunt
- Jan 2, 2027AveleyvsStanway Rovers
- Jan 2, 2027WhyteleafevsRamsgate
- Jan 2, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsBrentwood Town
- Jan 2, 2027Carshalton AthleticvsThree Bridges
- Jan 2, 2027Enfield TownvsWingate & Finchley
- Jan 2, 2027Dulwich HamletvsLeatherhead