Match

Burgess Hill Town vs Whitehawk: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, Burgess Hill, West Sussex

Burgess Hill TownWhitehawk

The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burgess Hill Town vs Whitehawk?

Burgess Hill Town starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,661).

Burgess Hill Town win58 %
Draw21 %
Whitehawk win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgess Hill Town have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Whitehawk have 0, 5 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burgess Hill Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cheshunt(away)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Leatherhead(home)2-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Whyteleafe(home)3-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Brentwood Town(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Jul 25, 2026Dover(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Whitehawk
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chatham Town(home)0-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 15, 2026Aveley(away)2-3Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 11, 2026Lewes(home)0-0Non League Premier - Isthmian
Aug 8, 2026Welling United(away)0-2Non League Premier - Isthmian
Apr 25, 2026Potters Bar Town(home)1-1Non League Premier - Isthmian

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Whitehawk win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Whitehawk 3-1 Burgess Hill TownNon League Premier - Isthmian
Oct 18, 2025Burgess Hill Town 2-2 WhitehawkNon League Premier - Isthmian
Mar 4, 2023Burgess Hill Town 0-1 WhitehawkNon League Div One - Isthmian South East
Oct 11, 2022Whitehawk 0-0 Burgess Hill TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South East
Jan 29, 2022Burgess Hill Town 1-0 WhitehawkNon League Div One - Isthmian South East
Oct 19, 2021Whitehawk 0-0 Burgess Hill TownNon League Div One - Isthmian South East

Last archived meeting: Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Burgess Hill Town1.61.728/1510/15
Whitehawk0.92.228/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Burgess Hill Town sit 14th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (5 points from 4 matches) and Whitehawk sit 19th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Burgess Hill Town4121655
19Whitehawk4013281

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burgess Hill Town vs Whitehawk?
The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Whitehawk.
Where and when is Burgess Hill Town vs Whitehawk played?
Burgess Hill Town vs Whitehawk is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Home Call Carpets Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Burgess Hill Town and Whitehawk

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