Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Enclosed Ground, Brighton, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Whitehawk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town?
Burgess Hill Town starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Whitehawk have 0 wins, 5 draws and 10 defeats; Burgess Hill Town have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Lewes(home) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Potters Bar Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leatherhead(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brentwood Town(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dover(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Whitehawk win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Burgess Hill Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Whitehawk 3-1 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Burgess Hill Town 2-2 Whitehawk | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Burgess Hill Town 0-1 Whitehawk | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Oct 11, 2022 | Whitehawk 0-0 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Jan 29, 2022 | Burgess Hill Town 1-0 Whitehawk | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
| Oct 19, 2021 | Whitehawk 0-0 Burgess Hill Town | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
Last archived meeting: Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Whitehawk score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Burgess Hill Town score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitehawk | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Burgess Hill Town | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Whitehawk sit 19th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Burgess Hill Town sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Burgess Hill Town | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 19 | Whitehawk | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town?
- The Footlab model makes Burgess Hill Town the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Whitehawk.
- Where and when is Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town played?
- Whitehawk vs Burgess Hill Town is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Enclosed Ground, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026DartfordvsChatham Town
- Aug 31, 2026LeatherheadvsDulwich Hamlet
- Aug 31, 2026Brentwood TownvsMaldon & Tiptree
- Aug 31, 2026RamsgatevsWhyteleafe
- Aug 31, 2026Three BridgesvsCarshalton Athletic
- Aug 31, 2026CheshuntvsSt Albans City
- Aug 31, 2026Cray WanderersvsWelling United
- Aug 31, 2026LewesvsEastbourne Borough