Eastbourne Borough vs Lewes: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)ReachTV Stadium, Eastbourne, East Sussex
The Footlab model makes Eastbourne Borough the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Lewes. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastbourne Borough vs Lewes?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Eastbourne Borough (1,712) and Lewes (1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastbourne Borough have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Lewes have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cray Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brentwood Town(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Three Bridges(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aveley(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Whyteleafe(home) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | St Albans City(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitehawk(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Enfield Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Eastbourne Borough win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lewes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2024 | Lewes 1-2 Eastbourne Borough | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Eastbourne Borough 2-3 Lewes | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Lewes vs Eastbourne Borough on Aug 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Eastbourne Borough score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lewes score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastbourne Borough | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Lewes | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastbourne Borough sit 7th in Non League Premier - Isthmian (7 points from 4 matches) and Lewes sit 9th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Eastbourne Borough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Lewes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastbourne Borough vs Lewes?
- The Footlab model makes Eastbourne Borough the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Lewes.
- Where and when is Eastbourne Borough vs Lewes played?
- Eastbourne Borough vs Lewes is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at ReachTV Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027St Albans CityvsCheshunt
- Jan 2, 2027AveleyvsStanway Rovers
- Jan 2, 2027Burgess Hill TownvsWhitehawk
- Jan 2, 2027WhyteleafevsRamsgate
- Jan 2, 2027Maldon & TiptreevsBrentwood Town
- Jan 2, 2027Carshalton AthleticvsThree Bridges
- Jan 2, 2027Enfield TownvsWingate & Finchley
- Jan 2, 2027Dulwich HamletvsLeatherhead