Where and when is Burgos Promesas vs Atlético Mansillés played?

Burgos Promesas vs Atlético Mansillés is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Burgos Promesas vs Atlético Mansillés: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, Burgos

Burgos Promesas

Atlético Mansillés

The Footlab model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Atlético Mansillés. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burgos Promesas vs Atlético Mansillés?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Burgos Promesas (1,816) and Atlético Mansillés (1,782).

Burgos Promesas win48 %

Draw28 %

Atlético Mansillés win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos Promesas have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Atlético Mansillés have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burgos Promesas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Salamanca UDS(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Coruxo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Atlético Mansillés
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Cultural Leonesa II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
May 2, 2026	Mojados(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 26, 2026	Almazán(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 23, 2026	Almazán(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Apr 18, 2026	Palencia CF(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Burgos Promesas win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Atlético Mansillés win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 4, 2025	Atlético Mansillés 3-1 Burgos Promesas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Jan 4, 2025	Burgos Promesas 2-1 Atlético Mansillés	Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Last archived meeting: Atlético Mansillés vs Burgos Promesas on May 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Mansillés score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Burgos Promesas	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15
Atlético Mansillés	0.9	0.9	7	5/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Atlético Mansillés	34	15	12	7	31	27	57

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burgos Promesas vs Atlético Mansillés?: The Footlab model makes Burgos Promesas the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Atlético Mansillés.
Where and when is Burgos Promesas vs Atlético Mansillés played?: Burgos Promesas vs Atlético Mansillés is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ciudad Deportiva de Castañares, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.