Match

Guijuelo vs Burgos Promesas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo

GuijueloBurgos Promesas

The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Burgos Promesas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Guijuelo vs Burgos Promesas?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Guijuelo (1,845) and Burgos Promesas (1,816).

Guijuelo win49 %
Draw27 %
Burgos Promesas win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guijuelo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Burgos Promesas have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Guijuelo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Unionistas II(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 19, 2026Ribert(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Atlético Tordesillas(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Tamaraceite(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Burgos Promesas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Real Valladolid II(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026Salamanca UDS(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026Atlético Astorga(away)0-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026Coruxo(home)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)1-4Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Guijuelo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Burgos Promesas win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 5, 2023Burgos Promesas 0-0 GuijueloSegunda División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 15, 2022Guijuelo 3-0 Burgos PromesasSegunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Burgos Promesas vs Guijuelo on Mar 5, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Guijuelo1.71.3410/159/15
Burgos Promesas1.01.557/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Guijuelo342176542670

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Guijuelo vs Burgos Promesas?
The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Burgos Promesas.
Where and when is Guijuelo vs Burgos Promesas played?
Guijuelo vs Burgos Promesas is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Guijuelo and Burgos Promesas

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