Guijuelo vs Burgos Promesas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo
The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Burgos Promesas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guijuelo vs Burgos Promesas?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Guijuelo (1,845) and Burgos Promesas (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guijuelo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Burgos Promesas have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unionistas II(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ribert(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlético Tordesillas(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Valladolid II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Salamanca UDS(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Atlético Astorga(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Coruxo(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruña II(home) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Guijuelo win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Burgos Promesas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | Burgos Promesas 0-0 Guijuelo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Guijuelo 3-0 Burgos Promesas | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Burgos Promesas vs Guijuelo on Mar 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Guijuelo score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guijuelo | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Burgos Promesas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 70 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guijuelo vs Burgos Promesas?
- The Footlab model makes Guijuelo the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Burgos Promesas.
- Where and when is Guijuelo vs Burgos Promesas played?
- Guijuelo vs Burgos Promesas is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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