Burgos vs Cadiz: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burgos wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burgos vs Cadiz?
Burgos starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (2,020 vs 1,855).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burgos vs Cadiz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burgos
4-4-2- 16Curro Sánchez
- 9Álex Forés
- 19Javi Llabrés
- 14David González
- 12Unai Vencedor
- 20José Gragera
- 15Oier Luengo
- 8Grego
- 22Brais Martínez
- 23Alberto Dadie
- 13Ander Cantero
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 18Jandro Orellana
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
- 5M. Doué
- 4Javi Castro
- 27J. Diaz Peregrina
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 1David Gil
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burgos have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Cadiz have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Almeria(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2026 | AD Ceuta FC(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Burgos win, 3 draws, 0 Cadiz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Burgos 1-1 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Cadiz 1-3 Burgos | Segunda División |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Burgos 2-2 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Cadiz 1-1 Burgos | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Burgos score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cadiz score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Cadiz | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burgos sit 8th in Segunda División (14 points from 9 matches) and Cadiz sit 20th (7 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Burgos vs Cadiz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burgos vs Cadiz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burgos the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Burgos vs Cadiz played?
- Burgos vs Cadiz is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.