Castellón vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nou Estadi Castalia, Castellón de la Plana
The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Almeria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Castellón wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,539 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Castellón vs Almeria?
On Elo ratings, Castellón has 2,105 points and Almeria 2,092.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Castellón vs Almeria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Castellón
4-4-2- 10Israel Suero
- 16A. Jakobsen
- 8Barri
- 14Iñigo Córdoba
- 6M. Orozco
- 25J. Vlak
- 5Alberto Jiménez
- 4A. Sienra
- 22J. Mellot
- 18Pablo Santiago
- 13R. Matthys
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 24Miguel de la Fuente
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 29S. Džodić
- 33Quim Junyent
- 18F. Bonini
- 2Marcos Luna
- 3Álex Muñoz
- 5Jorge Pulido
- 1Andrés Fernández
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castellón have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Almeria have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 3-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 2-1 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Castellón wins, 1 draw, 2 Almeria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Almeria 3-2 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Castellón 1-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Castellón 2-0 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Almeria 1-0 Castellón | Segunda División |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Castellón 4-1 Almeria | Segunda División |
| Sep 16, 2024 | Almeria 2-5 Castellón | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Castellón score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castellón | 1.8 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Almeria | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castellón sit 1st in Segunda División (27 points from 12 matches) and Almeria sit 2nd (26 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almeria | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 26 |
A question about Castellón vs Almeria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Castellón vs Almeria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Castellón the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Almeria.
- Where and when is Castellón vs Almeria played?
- Castellón vs Almeria is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nou Estadi Castalia, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.