Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Sporting Gijon (1,967) and Granada CF (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Granada CF have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnástica Torrelavega(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Antequera(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sporting Gijon win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Granada CF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Granada CF 1-2 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Granada CF 3-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 1-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Oct 13, 2022 | Granada CF 5-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Granada CF score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Granada CF | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 4th in Segunda División (4 points from 2 matches) and Granada CF sit 16th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Granada CF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Granada CF.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.