Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Granada CF. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Gijon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF?
On Elo ratings, Sporting Gijon has 1,978 points and Granada CF 1,949.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Gijon
4-2-3-1- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 27Enol Prendes
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 24Aimar Duñabeitia
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Granada CF
4-3-3- 11José Arnáiz
- 7Sergio Rodelas
- 27M. Gambin
- 6Gumbau
- 4Rubén Alcaraz
- 8Pedro Alemañ
- 5Manu Lama
- 18Sergio López
- 16Diego Pampín
- 30Juan José Flores Castro
- 1Alberto Flores
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Granada CF have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FC Andorra(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sporting Gijon wins, 0 draws, 3 Granada CF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Granada CF 1-2 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Granada CF 3-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 1-2 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Granada CF | Segunda División |
| Oct 13, 2022 | Granada CF 5-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Granada CF vs Sporting Gijon on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Granada CF score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Granada CF | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 6th in Segunda División (16 points from 9 matches) and Granada CF sit 10th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Granada CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
A question about Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Granada CF.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Granada CF is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.