Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Chang Arena, Buriram
The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Lamphun Warrior. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
Buriram United starts as the favourite with a 295-point Elo edge (1,965 vs 1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buriram United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lamphun Warrior have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 27, 2026 | Selangor(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Buriram United win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Lamphun Warrior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Buriram United 1-1 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior 2-3 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| May 31, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior 0-2 Buriram United | League Cup |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior 1-2 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Buriram United 1-1 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Buriram United 2-1 Lamphun Warrior | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buriram United score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lamphun Warrior score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buriram United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Lamphun Warrior | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buriram United sit 1st in Thai League 1 (70 points from 30 matches) and Lamphun Warrior sit 12th (29 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 31 | 70 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 47 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior?
- The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Lamphun Warrior.
- Where and when is Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior played?
- Buriram United vs Lamphun Warrior is played on December 20, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Chang Arena, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.