Lamphun Warrior vs Ratchaburi: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)700th Anniversary Stadium, Chiang Mai
The Footlab model makes Ratchaburi the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Lamphun Warrior. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lamphun Warrior vs Ratchaburi?
Ratchaburi starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lamphun Warrior have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Ratchaburi have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Kanchanaburi(away) | 1-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 6-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Sukhothai FC(away) | 2-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lamphun Warrior win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Ratchaburi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior 1-2 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ratchaburi 5-0 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| May 17, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior 1-0 Ratchaburi | League Cup |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Ratchaburi 1-1 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Lamphun Warrior 1-0 Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ratchaburi 2-0 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lamphun Warrior vs Ratchaburi on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lamphun Warrior score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ratchaburi score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamphun Warrior | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Ratchaburi | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lamphun Warrior sit 12th in Thai League 1 (29 points from 30 matches) and Ratchaburi sit 3rd (59 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55 | 30 | 59 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 47 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lamphun Warrior vs Ratchaburi?
- The Footlab model makes Ratchaburi the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Lamphun Warrior.
- Where and when is Lamphun Warrior vs Ratchaburi played?
- Lamphun Warrior vs Ratchaburi is played on December 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at 700th Anniversary Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.