Uthai Thani vs Buriram United: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Uthai Thani Province Stadium, Uthai Thani
The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Uthai Thani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uthai Thani vs Buriram United?
Buriram United is a heavy favourite: 1,965 Elo points against 1,628 — a 338-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uthai Thani have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Buriram United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Bangkok United(home) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Port FC(home) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rayong FC(home) | 4-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Prachuap(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| May 27, 2026 | Selangor(home) | 2-1 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 20, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 1-0 | ASEAN Club Championship |
| May 17, 2026 | Ayutthaya FC(home) | 5-0 | FA Cup |
| May 13, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | ASEAN Club Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Uthai Thani win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Buriram United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | Uthai Thani 0-1 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Buriram United 5-1 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Uthai Thani 0-0 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Buriram United 1-0 Uthai Thani | Thai League 1 |
| May 18, 2024 | Uthai Thani 0-2 Buriram United | Thai League 1 |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Buriram United 2-2 Uthai Thani | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Uthai Thani vs Buriram United on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Uthai Thani score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Buriram United score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uthai Thani | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Buriram United | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uthai Thani sit 11th in Thai League 1 (31 points from 30 matches) and Buriram United sit 1st (70 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 76 | 31 | 70 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uthai Thani vs Buriram United?
- The Footlab model makes Buriram United the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Uthai Thani.
- Where and when is Uthai Thani vs Buriram United played?
- Uthai Thani vs Buriram United is played on December 23, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Uthai Thani Province Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.