Match

Burnley U18 vs Derby County U18: prediction and stats

U18 Premier League - NorthNorthKick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Burnley FC Training Centre, Burnley, Lancashire

Burnley U18Derby County U18

The Footlab AI model makes Derby County U18 the favourite at 42%, against 20% for a draw and 38% for Burnley U18. The most likely score is 2-2. If Derby County U18 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burnley U18 vs Derby County U18?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Burnley U18 (1,648) and Derby County U18 (1,691).

38%20%42%
Burnley U18 winDrawDerby County U18 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Burnley U18 vs Derby County U18

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Burnley U18

4-3-3
  1. 11B. Pouri-Siewe
  2. 7L. Scanlon
  3. 5C. King
  1. 10G. Brierley
  2. 9K. M. Brown
  3. 8F. So
  1. 3J. Wilcock
  2. 4M. Stanley
  3. 16A. Murtesa
  4. 2Dylan Morison
  1. 1C. Edwards

Derby County U18

Not enough data to predict the Derby County U18 lineup.

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:28 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley U18 have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Derby County U18 have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burnley U18
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Newcastle United U18(away)0-3U18 Premier League - North
Sep 19, 2026Nottingham Forest U18(home)2-2U18 Premier League - North
Sep 12, 2026Liverpool U18(away)2-4U18 Premier League - North
Sep 5, 2026Leeds United U18(away)3-1U18 Premier League - North
Aug 29, 2026Sunderland U18(home)2-2U18 Premier League - North
Derby County U18
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Wolves U18(away)2-1U18 Premier League - North
Sep 19, 2026Liverpool U18(home)3-3U18 Premier League - North
Sep 12, 2026Stoke City U18(away)2-0U18 Premier League - North
Sep 5, 2026Nottingham Forest U18(home)0-2U18 Premier League - North
Aug 29, 2026Middlesbrough U18(away)3-1U18 Premier League - North

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burnley U18 wins, 2 draws, 1 Derby County U18 win.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Derby County U18 1-4 Burnley U18U18 Premier League - North
Apr 24, 2026Derby County U18 1-2 Burnley U18U18 Premier League - North
Sep 20, 2025Burnley U18 1-2 Derby County U18U18 Premier League - North
May 7, 2022Derby County U18 1-2 Burnley U18U18 Premier League - North
Oct 23, 2021Burnley U18 1-1 Derby County U18U18 Premier League - North
May 8, 2021Burnley U18 1-1 Derby County U18U18 Premier League - North

Last archived meeting: Derby County U18 vs Burnley U18 on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Burnley U18 score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U18 score 2.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Burnley U182.32.3013/1514/15
Derby County U182.22.1113/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Burnley U18 sit 8th in U18 Premier League - North (8 points from 7 matches) and Derby County U18 sit 5th (10 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Derby County U187313121410
8Burnley U18722313148

A question about Burnley U18 vs Derby County U18?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burnley U18 vs Derby County U18?
The Footlab AI model makes Derby County U18 the favourite at 42%, against 20% for a draw and 38% for Burnley U18.
Where and when is Burnley U18 vs Derby County U18 played?
Burnley U18 vs Derby County U18 is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Burnley FC Training Centre, in the U18 Premier League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Burnley U18 and Derby County U18

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