Crawley Town vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Crawley Town the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Newport County?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Crawley Town (1,677) and Newport County (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Newport County have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 3, 2026 | York(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-5 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Yeovil Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Crawley Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Newport County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Newport County 0-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Crawley Town 1-2 Newport County | League Two |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Newport County 0-4 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Crawley Town 4-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Newport County 2-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Crawley Town 2-1 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Crawley Town on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crawley Town score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Newport County | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crawley Town sit 15th in League Two (3 points from 2 matches) and Newport County sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Newport County | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Newport County?
- The Footlab model makes Crawley Town the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Crawley Town vs Newport County played?
- Crawley Town vs Newport County is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.