Crawley Town vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab AI model makes Crawley Town the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crawley Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,594 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Newport County?
On Elo ratings, Crawley Town has 1,622 points and Newport County 1,733.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crawley Town vs Newport County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crawley Town
4-1-4-1- 9D. Orsi
- 20J. Arthurs
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 30Kai Jennings
- 16J. Russell
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 6P. Farquharson
- 12L. Richards
- 2K. Gordon
- 5C. Barker
- 1V. Mannone
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 19G. Garner
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 20Y. Bamba
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 12Joe Thomas
- 1J. Wright
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Newport County have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Crawley Town wins, 1 draw, 1 Newport County win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Newport County 0-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Crawley Town 1-2 Newport County | League Two |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Newport County 0-4 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Crawley Town 4-1 Newport County | League Two |
| Jan 2, 2023 | Newport County 2-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Crawley Town 2-1 Newport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Crawley Town on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crawley Town score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Newport County | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crawley Town sit 24th in League Two (9 points from 12 matches) and Newport County sit 14th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Crawley Town vs Newport County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Newport County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crawley Town the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Crawley Town vs Newport County played?
- Crawley Town vs Newport County is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.