Burnley vs Derby: result 2-1 and analysis
League Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
Full time
What was the result of Burnley vs Derby?
Burnley won 2-1 on August 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′A. RamseyBurnley
- 35′B. ClarkDerby
- 90′O. SonneBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Derby have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sunderland(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Tottenham(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Lazio(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Stoke City(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Huddersfield(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2025 | Bristol City(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Coventry(home) | 3-5 | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2025 | West Brom(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Stoke City(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Atromitos(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burnley win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | Derby 0-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Burnley 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Jan 25, 2016 | Burnley 4-1 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2015 | Derby 0-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Burnley 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Derby 0-3 Burnley | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.6 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy