Burnley vs Derby: result 4-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 25, 2016 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
Full time
What was the result of Burnley vs Derby?
Burnley won 4-1 on January 25, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 29′R. KeoghBurnley (o.g.)
- 30′J. ButterfieldDerby
- 54′A. GrayBurnley (pen.)
- 58′S. VokesBurnley (pen.)
- 66′S. ArfieldBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Derby have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2016 | Brentford(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2016 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 5-0 | Championship |
| Jan 9, 2016 | Middlesbrough(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Ipswich(home) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Dec 28, 2015 | Bristol City(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | Birmingham(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2016 | Reading(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Jan 9, 2016 | Hartlepool(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Middlesbrough(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2015 | Leeds(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Burnley win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2015 | Derby 0-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Burnley 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2013 | Derby 0-3 Burnley | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2012 | Burnley 2-0 Derby | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2012 | Derby 1-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Jan 21, 2012 | Burnley 0-0 Derby | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 18th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy