Burnley vs Derby: result 2-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 26, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
Full time
What was the result of Burnley vs Derby?
Burnley won 2-0 on December 26, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 40′C. AustinBurnley
- 74′M. DuffBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Derby have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2012 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Watford(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Dec 2, 2012 | Blackburn(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 27, 2012 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2012 | Hull City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Bristol City(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Dec 8, 2012 | Leeds(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Leicester(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Nov 27, 2012 | Cardiff(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Burnley win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2012 | Derby 1-2 Burnley | Championship |
| Jan 21, 2012 | Burnley 0-0 Derby | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Derby 1-2 Burnley | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.4 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Derby | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 18th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Derby sit 16th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy