Burnley vs Blackburn: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Blackburn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burnley wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burnley vs Blackburn?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Burnley (1,962) and Blackburn (1,947).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burnley vs Blackburn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 11Z. Amdouni
- 29J. Laurent
- 3Max Alleyne
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 19L. Ramazani
- 5R. Hatate
- 44Igor
- 2K. Walker
- 15A. Ahmedhodžić
- 23Lucas Pires
- 37G. Coudert
Blackburn
4-2-3-1- 9A. Guðjohnsen
- 25R. Morishita
- 21O. Afolayan
- 10T. Cantwell
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 8Sam Morsy
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 17H. Carter
- 3H. Pickering
- 22B. Tóth
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Blackburn have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford(away) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Burnley wins, 1 draw, 0 Blackburn wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | Blackburn 0-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Burnley 1-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2023 | Blackburn 0-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Burnley 3-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2017 | Blackburn 0-2 Burnley | League Cup |
| Mar 5, 2016 | Burnley 1-0 Blackburn | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Blackburn score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Blackburn | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 22nd in Championship (7 points from 9 matches) and Blackburn sit 13th (12 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Blackburn | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| 22 | Burnley | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Burnley vs Blackburn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burnley vs Blackburn?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burnley the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Blackburn.
- Where and when is Burnley vs Blackburn played?
- Burnley vs Blackburn is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Turf Moor, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.