Burnley vs Millwall: result 3-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 46Kick-off on May 3, 2025 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
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What was the result of Burnley vs Millwall?
Burnley won 3-1 on May 3, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′M. IvanovićMillwall
- 13′J. BrownhillBurnley
- 65′J. AnthonyBurnley
- 90′J. BrownhillBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Millwall have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | QPR(away) | 5-0 | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Watford(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Norwich(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Derby(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2025 | Swansea(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Norwich(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Blackburn(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Burnley win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Millwall win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | Millwall 1-0 Burnley | Championship |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Millwall 1-1 Burnley | Championship |
| Aug 30, 2022 | Burnley 2-0 Millwall | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2020 | Millwall 0-2 Burnley | League Cup |
| Feb 8, 2014 | Burnley 3-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Millwall 2-2 Burnley | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.9 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Millwall score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.9 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Millwall | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burnley sit 18th in Championship (1 points from 2 matches) and Millwall sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 18 | Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy