Burnley vs Newcastle: result 1-3 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 30, 2025 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
Full time
What was the result of Burnley vs Newcastle?
Newcastle won 1-3 on December 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 2′JoelintonNewcastle
- 7′Y. WissaNewcastle
- 23′J. LaurentBurnley
- 90′Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Newcastle have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Everton(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Fulham(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025 | Manchester United(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Chelsea(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Fulham(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Dec 14, 2025 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Burnley win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Newcastle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Newcastle 2-1 Burnley | Premier League |
| May 4, 2024 | Burnley 1-4 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Newcastle 2-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| May 22, 2022 | Burnley 1-2 Newcastle | Premier League |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Newcastle 1-0 Burnley | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2021 | Newcastle 0-0 Burnley | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Newcastle score 1.7 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Newcastle | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Newcastle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy