Burnley vs Nottingham Forest: result 5-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 27, 2011 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
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What was the result of Burnley vs Nottingham Forest?
Burnley won 5-1 on September 27, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 5′J. RodríguezBurnley
- 15′J. RodríguezBurnley
- 29′C. McCannBurnley
- 44′R. WallaceBurnley
- 59′Ishmael MillerNottingham Forest
- 71′C. AustinBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 10 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Nottingham Forest have 3, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2011 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Peterborough(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Middlesbrough(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 27, 2011 | Derby(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2011 | Watford(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Newcastle(home) | 3-4 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Derby(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Southampton(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2011 | West Ham(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 10; Nottingham Forest score 1.8 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0 | 8/10 | 6/10 |
| Nottingham Forest | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/11 | 7/11 |
Over the last 10 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy