Match

Burnley W vs Aston Villa W: prediction and stats

WSL CupGroup StageKick-off on October 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)

Burnley WAston Villa W

The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa W the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Burnley W. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?

On Elo ratings, Burnley W has 1,946 points and Aston Villa W 2,031.

21%21%58%
Burnley W winDrawAston Villa W win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Burnley W vs Aston Villa W

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Burnley W

4-3-3
  1. 9C. Walker
  2. 19Charlie Chadwick
  3. 21C. Wellings
  1. 8J. Finn
  2. 10C. Harrison-Murray
  3. 6T. Toland
  1. 3E. Siddall
  2. 22A. Paul
  3. 20Maddi Wilde
  4. 23N. Hartley
  1. 25J. Burns

Aston Villa W

3-4-2-1
  1. 27M. McAulay
  1. 25M. Taylor
  2. 5J. Kielland
  3. 16N. Maritz
  4. 13M. Hijikata
  5. 14L. Wilms
  6. 21L. Kendall
  1. 4A. Patten
  2. 3M. Harviken
  3. 24O. Deslandes
  1. 23Akane Okuma

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley W have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Aston Villa W have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Burnley W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Nottingham Forest W(away)0-2Women's Championship
Sep 26, 2026Bristol City W(home)0-0Women's Championship
Sep 18, 2026Wolverhampton W(away)0-3Women's Championship
Sep 13, 2026Sunderland W(home)1-2Women's Championship
Sep 4, 2026Watford W(away)0-0Women's Championship
Aston Villa W
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 4, 2026Crystal Palace W(home)1-1FA WSL
Sep 30, 2026Newcastle United W(home)3-1WSL Cup
Sep 27, 2026Tottenham Hotspur W(away)0-4FA WSL
Sep 23, 2026Nottingham Forest W(away)2-0WSL Cup
Sep 20, 2026Brighton W(away)1-1FA WSL

How many goals should we expect?

Burnley W score 4.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Aston Villa W score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Burnley W4.51.183/1511/15
Aston Villa W1.32.3210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Burnley W vs Aston Villa W?
The Footlab AI model makes Aston Villa W the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Burnley W.
Where and when is Burnley W vs Aston Villa W played?
Burnley W vs Aston Villa W is played on October 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the WSL Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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