Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Yüzüncü Yıl Atatürk Sütaş Stadyumu, Bursa
The Footlab model makes Bursaspor the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for İstanbulspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Bursaspor (1,900) and İstanbulspor (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bursaspor have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; İstanbulspor have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iğdır FK(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 2-3 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bodrum FK(home) | 2-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bandırmaspor(away) | 0-3 | 1. Lig |
| May 1, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 8-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Vanspor FK(away) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bursaspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 İstanbulspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2022 | İstanbulspor 3-1 Bursaspor | 1. Lig |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Bursaspor 2-4 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Bursaspor 1-2 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Dec 20, 2020 | İstanbulspor 3-3 Bursaspor | 1. Lig |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Bursaspor 1-1 İstanbulspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 26, 2019 | İstanbulspor 1-2 Bursaspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: İstanbulspor vs Bursaspor on Apr 15, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Bursaspor score 2.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; İstanbulspor score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursaspor | 2.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| İstanbulspor | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bursaspor sit 5th in 1. Lig (6 points from 3 matches) and İstanbulspor sit 19th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bursaspor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor?
- The Footlab model makes Bursaspor the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for İstanbulspor.
- Where and when is Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor played?
- Bursaspor vs İstanbulspor is played on September 2, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Yüzüncü Yıl Atatürk Sütaş Stadyumu, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.