Burton Albion vs Reading: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Reading the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Burton Albion. The most likely score is 1-1. If Reading wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Reading?
Reading starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,809).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burton Albion vs Reading
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 19M. Dennis
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 3J. Armer
- 4K. Chauke
- 8C. Webster
- 14W. Collar
- 41Sulyman Krubally
- 16C. Tilt
- 26F. Delap
- 12G. Evans
- 34C. Addai
Reading
4-2-3-1- 18J. Brown
- 32P. Lane
- 10L. Wing
- 19Kyreece Lisbie
- 4A. Rinomhota
- 28J. Stokes
- 15P. O'Connor
- 5H. Roberts
- 16Benn David Ward
- 2U. Godwin-Malife
- 1Joel Pereira
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Reading have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Doncaster(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 0-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Chelsea U21(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 5-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 2-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Burton Albion wins, 1 draw, 3 Reading wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Burton Albion 1-2 Reading | League One |
| Jan 1, 2026 | Reading 2-0 Burton Albion | League One |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Burton Albion 3-2 Reading | League One |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Reading 3-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Burton Albion 3-2 Reading | League One |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Reading 0-0 Burton Albion | League One |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Reading on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Reading score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Reading | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 10th in League One (12 points from 10 matches) and Reading sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 11 | 15 |
| 10 | Burton Albion | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Burton Albion vs Reading?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Reading?
- The Footlab AI model makes Reading the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Burton Albion.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Reading played?
- Burton Albion vs Reading is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.