Leicester vs Sheffield Wednesday: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)King Power Stadium, Leicester, Leicestershire
The Footlab model makes Leicester the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Sheffield Wednesday. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leicester vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Leicester starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (1,837 vs 1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leicester have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Sheffield Wednesday have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Notts County(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bolton(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Leicester win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Sheffield Wednesday win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Leicester 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Leicester 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2023 | Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Leicester | Championship |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Leicester 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 4, 2014 | Leicester 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sheffield Wednesday vs Leicester on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leicester score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sheffield Wednesday score 0.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leicester sit 18th in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Sheffield Wednesday sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sheffield Wednesday | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 18 | Leicester | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leicester vs Sheffield Wednesday?
- The Footlab model makes Leicester the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Sheffield Wednesday.
- Where and when is Leicester vs Sheffield Wednesday played?
- Leicester vs Sheffield Wednesday is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at King Power Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.