Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cambridge United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Milton Keynes Dons wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Milton Keynes Dons (1,882) and Cambridge United (1,960).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2- 10A. Collins
- 9S. Nombe
- 24R. Wintle
- 8A. Gilbey
- 17S. Silvera
- 22I. Fullah
- 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
- 5C. Goode
- 21M. Ekpiteta
- 32J. Sanders
- 23W. Dennis
Cambridge United
3-4-2-1- 14G. Yahyai
- 17P. Mpanzu
- 10B. Knight
- 7Isaac Heath
- 4D. Ball
- 2L. Bennett
- 8O. Moxon
- 6K. Watts
- 22Z. Bradshaw
- 3Callum Perry
- 1J. Eastwood
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Cambridge United have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reading(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 7-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 17, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Gillingham(away) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Milton Keynes Dons wins, 2 draws, 1 Cambridge United win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Cambridge United 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Cambridge United | League Two |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 Cambridge United | League One |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Cambridge United 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Cambridge United 0-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Milton Keynes Dons 4-1 Cambridge United | League One |
Last archived meeting: Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cambridge United score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Cambridge United | 1.6 | 1.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milton Keynes Dons sit 18th in League One (9 points from 9 matches) and Cambridge United sit 5th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cambridge United | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 19 |
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
A question about Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Cambridge United.
- Where and when is Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United played?
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium mk, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.