Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium mk, Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Cambridge United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Milton Keynes Dons (1,831) and Cambridge United (1,888).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milton Keynes Dons have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Cambridge United have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huddersfield(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oxford United(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 1-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 3-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Milton Keynes Dons win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cambridge United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Cambridge United 1-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Cambridge United | League Two |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 Cambridge United | League One |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Cambridge United 1-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Cambridge United 0-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Milton Keynes Dons 4-1 Cambridge United | League One |
Last archived meeting: Cambridge United vs Milton Keynes Dons on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.4 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cambridge United score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Cambridge United | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Milton Keynes Dons sit 14th in League One (2 points from 2 matches) and Cambridge United sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cambridge United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United?
- The Footlab model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Cambridge United.
- Where and when is Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United played?
- Milton Keynes Dons vs Cambridge United is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium mk, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.