Burundi vs Togo: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
The Footlab AI model makes Burundi the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Togo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Burundi wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burundi vs Togo?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Burundi (1,416) and Togo (1,487).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burundi vs Togo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burundi
5-4-1- 12B. Bimenyimana
- 17H. Msanga
- 21A. Bigirimana
- 18J. Nshimirimana
- 15O. Mussa
- 22C. Nduwarugira
- 19F. Nsabiyumva
- 14Y. Ndayishimiye
- 20B. Kanakimana
- 3M. Weymans
- 1J. Nahimana
Togo
3-4-3- 10K. Denkey
- 17D. Karim
- 11C. Abi
- 21D. Dakonam
- 19H. Koudossou
- 6S. Ouro
- 15K. Aziangbe
- 5S. Nador
- 2K. Boma
- 3L. Bessilé
- 16M. Barcola
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burundi have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Togo have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Algeria(home) | 2-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Togo(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| May 26, 2026 | Morocco(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Chad(home) | 4-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Chad(away) | 4-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Zambia(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Burundi(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Benin(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Central African Republic(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Niger(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Burundi wins, 0 draws, 1 Togo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Togo 1-0 Burundi | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Burundi score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Togo score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burundi | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 1/15 | 5/15 |
| Togo | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burundi sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (1 point from 2 matches) and Togo sit 3rd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Togo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Burundi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Burundi vs Togo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burundi vs Togo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Burundi the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Togo.
- Where and when is Burundi vs Togo played?
- Burundi vs Togo is played on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Hamz Stadium, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.