Bury Town vs Banbury United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Atalian Servest Stadium, Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Banbury United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury Town vs Banbury United?
Bury Town starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury Town have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Banbury United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Bury Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Banbury United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Banbury United 1-0 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Bury Town 2-1 Banbury United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Banbury United 2-1 Bury Town | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Banbury United vs Bury Town on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Banbury United score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Banbury United | 0.8 | 1.5 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury Town sit 2nd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (9 points from 3 matches) and Banbury United sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Banbury United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury Town vs Banbury United?
- The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Banbury United.
- Where and when is Bury Town vs Banbury United played?
- Bury Town vs Banbury United is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Atalian Servest Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026StamfordvsHalesowen Town
- Oct 31, 2026StourbridgevsKettering Town
- Oct 31, 2026LeistonvsAlvechurch
- Oct 31, 2026Redditch UnitedvsNeedham Market
- Oct 31, 2026Rushall OlympicvsRacing Club Warwick
- Oct 31, 2026Stratford TownvsHitchin Town
- Oct 31, 2026LeamingtonvsPeterborough Sports
- Oct 31, 2026Anstey NomadsvsBishop's Stortford