Redditch United vs Bury Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Valley Stadium, Redditch, Worcestershire
The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Redditch United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Redditch United vs Bury Town?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Redditch United (1,801) and Bury Town (1,848).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Redditch United have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leighton Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Coventry United(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stratford Town(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stamford(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Halesowen Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Aug 1, 2026 | AFC Sudbury(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Redditch United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bury Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Bury Town 1-1 Redditch United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Redditch United 3-2 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Bury Town vs Redditch United on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Redditch United score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redditch United | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Bury Town | 1.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Redditch United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (3 points from 3 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bury Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 12 | Redditch United | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Redditch United vs Bury Town?
- The Footlab model makes Bury Town the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Redditch United.
- Where and when is Redditch United vs Bury Town played?
- Redditch United vs Bury Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Valley Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026StamfordvsLeighton Town
- Nov 28, 2026StourbridgevsRushall Olympic
- Nov 28, 2026Banbury UnitedvsHalesowen Town
- Nov 28, 2026Bishop's StortfordvsPeterborough Sports
- Nov 28, 2026Bromsgrove SportingvsHitchin Town
- Nov 28, 2026LeamingtonvsAlvechurch
- Nov 28, 2026Anstey NomadsvsStratford Town
- Nov 28, 2026Racing Club WarwickvsKettering Town