Bury Town vs Leighton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern CentralMatchday 40Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Atalian Servest Stadium, Bury St Edmunds, Suffolk
The Footlab AI model makes Bury Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Leighton Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bury Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,620 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bury Town vs Leighton Town?
Bury Town starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,732 vs 1,597).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bury Town vs Leighton Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bury Town
Not enough data to predict the Bury Town lineup.
Leighton Town
Not enough data to predict the Leighton Town lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury Town have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Leighton Town have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Bishop's Stortford(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Racing Club Warwick(away) | 3-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Kettering Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Banbury United(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Hitchin Town(away) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Hitchin Town(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(home) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Needham Market(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Banbury United(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Rushall Olympic(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Bury Town win, 0 draws, 0 Leighton Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Leighton Town 2-3 Bury Town | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
Last archived meeting: Leighton Town vs Bury Town on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bury Town score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Leighton Town score 1.1 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury Town | 1.5 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Leighton Town | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bury Town sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Southern Central (36 points from 18 matches) and Leighton Town sit 21st (6 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bury Town | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 32 | 27 | 36 |
| 21 | Leighton Town | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 35 | 6 |
A question about Bury Town vs Leighton Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bury Town vs Leighton Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bury Town the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Leighton Town.
- Where and when is Bury Town vs Leighton Town played?
- Bury Town vs Leighton Town is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Atalian Servest Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027StourbridgevsBanbury United
- Apr 3, 2027Bishop's StortfordvsBromsgrove Sporting
- Apr 3, 2027Needham MarketvsStratford Town
- Apr 3, 2027Redditch UnitedvsLeiston
- Apr 3, 2027Rushall OlympicvsStamford
- Apr 3, 2027Kettering TownvsHitchin Town
- Apr 3, 2027Anstey NomadsvsPeterborough Sports
- Apr 3, 2027Racing Club WarwickvsAlvechurch