Where and when is Leighton Town vs Bury Town played?

Leighton Town vs Bury Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Freed Veneers Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Leighton Town vs Bury Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern CentralRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Freed Veneers Community Stadium, Leighton Buzzard, Bedfordshire

Leighton Town

Bury Town

The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Bury Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leighton Town vs Bury Town?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Leighton Town (1,845) and Bury Town (1,848).

Leighton Town win42 %

Draw26 %

Bury Town win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leighton Town have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Bury Town have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leighton Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Anstey Nomads(away)	0-2	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Worcester City(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Kettering Town(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Redditch United(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Apr 25, 2026	London Lions(home)	5-0	Non League Div One - Southern Central

Bury Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Leamington(home)	3-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 15, 2026	Stratford Town(away)	3-1	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 11, 2026	Stamford(away)	1-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 8, 2026	Halesowen Town(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 1, 2026	AFC Sudbury(home)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Leighton Town score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bury Town score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Leighton Town	2.3	0.7	8	5/15	7/15
Bury Town	1.9	1.1	6	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leighton Town sit 7th in Non League Premier - Southern Central (5 points from 3 matches) and Bury Town sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Bury Town	3	3	0	0	5	1	9
7	Leighton Town	3	1	2	0	4	3	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leighton Town vs Bury Town?: The Footlab model makes Leighton Town the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Bury Town.
Where and when is Leighton Town vs Bury Town played?: Leighton Town vs Bury Town is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Freed Veneers Community Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern Central.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.