Bury vs Carlisle: result 0-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 22, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
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What was the result of Bury vs Carlisle?
Carlisle won 0-1 on September 22, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 52′R. BennettCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Carlisle have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2018 | Swindon Town(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Grimsby(home) | 4-0 | League Two |
| Sep 4, 2018 | Rochdale(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Morecambe(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2018 | Tranmere(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 8, 2018 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 4, 2018 | Morecambe(home) | 3-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Mansfield Town(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Crewe(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bury win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2015 | Bury 2-1 Carlisle | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Carlisle 0-3 Bury | League Two |
| Dec 29, 2012 | Carlisle 2-1 Bury | League One |
| Oct 16, 2012 | Bury 1-1 Carlisle | League One |
| Mar 10, 2012 | Carlisle 4-1 Bury | League One |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Bury 0-2 Carlisle | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy