Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity: result 4-3 and analysis
FA TrophyFinalKick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Bury won 4-3 on September 26, 2026.
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bury win at 57%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-3.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 10 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Workington(home) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Wythenshawe Amateurs(home) | 8-0 | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Hyde United(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Ilkeston Town(home) | 7-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2026 | Leamington(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Avro(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sherwood Colliery(away) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Cleethorpes Town(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Bury win, 0 draws, 0 Gainsborough Trinity wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 Bury | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Gainsborough Trinity vs Bury on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 2.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 2.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bury vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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