Where and when is Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity played?

Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Map Group UK Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Map Group UK Stadium, Stockton-on-Tees

Stockton Town

Gainsborough Trinity

The Footlab model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Stockton Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Stockton Town (1,782) and Gainsborough Trinity (1,796).

Stockton Town win36 %

Draw27 %

Gainsborough Trinity win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockton Town have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stockton Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Guiseley AFC(away)	0-3	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Alfreton Town(home)	2-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	Leek Town(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Ashton United(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern

Gainsborough Trinity
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Quorn(away)	2-2	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 22, 2026	Bury(home)	0-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 18, 2026	Stockton Town(home)	4-1	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 15, 2026	United of Manchester(away)	3-0	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 11, 2026	Alfreton Town(away)	1-2	Non League Premier - Northern

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Stockton Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Gainsborough Trinity win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 18, 2026	Gainsborough Trinity 4-1 Stockton Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Apr 3, 2026	Stockton Town 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity	Non League Premier - Northern
Aug 19, 2025	Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 Stockton Town	Non League Premier - Northern
Jan 25, 2025	Stockton Town 2-3 Gainsborough Trinity	Non League Premier - Northern
Sep 21, 2024	Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 Stockton Town	Non League Premier - Northern

Last archived meeting: Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town on Aug 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stockton Town score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stockton Town	0.9	1.6	2	7/15	6/15
Gainsborough Trinity	1.3	1.5	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stockton Town sit 20th in Non League Premier - Northern (4 points from 6 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Gainsborough Trinity	6	3	1	2	12	6	10
20	Stockton Town	6	1	1	4	4	10	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?: The Footlab model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Stockton Town.
Where and when is Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity played?: Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Map Group UK Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.