Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 22Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Map Group UK Stadium, Stockton-on-Tees
The Footlab AI model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stockton Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gainsborough Trinity wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,928 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Stockton Town (1,704) and Gainsborough Trinity (1,763).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stockton Town
Not enough data to predict the Stockton Town lineup.
Gainsborough Trinity
Not enough data to predict the Gainsborough Trinity lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockton Town have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Gainsborough Trinity have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 5-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lancaster City(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 10, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hyde United(home) | 4-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Stockton Town win, 1 draw, 3 Gainsborough Trinity wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gainsborough Trinity 4-1 Stockton Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Stockton Town 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 Stockton Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Stockton Town 2-3 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 Stockton Town | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Gainsborough Trinity vs Stockton Town on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stockton Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Gainsborough Trinity score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockton Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stockton Town sit 16th in Non League Premier - Northern (15 points from 16 matches) and Gainsborough Trinity sit 5th (29 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gainsborough Trinity | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 21 | 29 |
| 16 | Stockton Town | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 15 |
A question about Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Stockton Town.
- Where and when is Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity played?
- Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Map Group UK Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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