Bury vs Morecambe: result 0-1 and analysis
EFL Trophy2nd RoundKick-off on October 6, 2015 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
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What was the result of Bury vs Morecambe?
Morecambe won 0-1 on October 6, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 81′S. MillerMorecambe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Morecambe have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2015 | Colchester(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 29, 2015 | Peterborough(away) | 3-2 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2015 | Coventry(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Port Vale(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2015 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-4 | League Two |
| Sep 29, 2015 | Luton(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2015 | Oxford United(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 19, 2015 | Northampton(home) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2015 | Newport County(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Bury win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Morecambe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2015 | Bury 1-2 Morecambe | League Two |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Morecambe 1-0 Bury | League Two |
| Oct 7, 2014 | Bury 3-1 Morecambe | EFL Trophy |
| May 3, 2014 | Morecambe 0-0 Bury | League Two |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Bury 0-2 Morecambe | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy