Bury vs Morecambe: result 3-1 and analysis
EFL Trophy2nd RoundKick-off on October 7, 2014 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
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What was the result of Bury vs Morecambe?
Bury won 3-1 on October 7, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 14′D. NardielloBury (pen.)
- 40′D. NardielloBury
- 74′Shaun Anthony BeeleyMorecambe
- 90′Ryan LoweBury
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Morecambe have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Tranmere(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Burton Albion(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Stevenage(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Carlisle(away) | 3-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2014 | Southend(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 27, 2014 | Northampton(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2014 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Mansfield Town(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Plymouth(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Bury win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Morecambe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2014 | Morecambe 0-0 Bury | League Two |
| Oct 12, 2013 | Bury 0-2 Morecambe | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy