Bury vs Notts County: result 4-0 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 20, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Notts County?
Bury won 4-0 on October 20, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 11′Nicholas David MaynardBury
- 18′D. TelfordBury
- 65′J. O'SheaBury (pen.)
- 88′Nicholas Willia AdamsBury
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Notts County have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2018 | Leicester City U21(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Crewe(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Colchester(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2018 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Crawley Town(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Crewe(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Northampton(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Bury win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Notts County win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2013 | Notts County 4-1 Bury | League One |
| Sep 1, 2012 | Bury 0-2 Notts County | League One |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Notts County 2-4 Bury | League One |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Bury 2-2 Notts County | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Notts County score 1.3 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Notts County | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74 | 52 | 80 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy