Bury vs Southend: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 29, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Southend have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2019 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Northampton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Newport County(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Colchester(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2019 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Dec 21, 2019 | Bolton(away) | 2-3 | League One |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Rotherham(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 2-4 | League One |
| Dec 3, 2019 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bury win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Southend win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2018 | Bury 0-0 Southend | League One |
| Oct 21, 2017 | Southend 1-0 Bury | League One |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Southend 1-0 Bury | League One |
| Nov 12, 2016 | Bury 1-4 Southend | League One |
| May 8, 2016 | Bury 3-2 Southend | League One |
| Dec 18, 2015 | Southend 4-1 Bury | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 1.2 and concede 2.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Southend | 1.2 | 2.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 29, 2019Rotherham4-0Peterborough
- Dec 29, 2019AFC Wimbledon1-2Oxford United
- Dec 29, 2019Fleetwood Town0-0Bristol Rovers
- Dec 29, 2019Milton Keynes Dons3-1Portsmouth
- Dec 29, 2019Doncaster1-2Sunderland
- Dec 29, 2019Wycombe1-4Coventry
- Dec 29, 2019Accrington ST2-0Burton Albion