Hartlepool vs Southend: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)The Suit Direct Stadium, Hartlepool, County Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Hartlepool. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Southend?
Southend starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (2,011 vs 1,786).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hartlepool vs Southend
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hartlepool
4-3-3- 19C. Popov
- 10W. Harris
- 9J. Hugill
- 42Cole Deeming
- 4J. Hunter
- 14N. Sheron
- 6R. McNally
- 12Neo Eccleston
- 3C. John
- 2J. Benn
- 32N. Fisher
Southend
4-3-3- 9H. Cardwell
- 14P. Omochere
- 27R. Colclough
- 19L. Chambers-Parillon
- 8D. Oldaker
- 4A. Hartigan
- 2V. Campbell
- 3Kyle James McAdam
- 6B. Goodliffe
- 20D. Cox
- 1J. Duncan
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartlepool have 3 wins, 0 draws and 12 defeats; Southend have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Newcastle United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Boston United(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barrow(home) | 2-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 6-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hartlepool wins, 4 draws, 0 Southend wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Hartlepool 4-3 Southend | National League |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Southend 1-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Southend 0-0 Hartlepool | National League |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Hartlepool 0-0 Southend | National League |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Hartlepool 0-0 Southend | National League |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Southend 2-3 Hartlepool | National League |
Last archived meeting: Hartlepool vs Southend on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hartlepool score 0.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 2.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool | 0.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Southend | 2.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hartlepool sit 20th in National League (12 points from 13 matches) and Southend sit 3rd (27 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Hartlepool vs Southend?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hartlepool vs Southend?
- The Footlab AI model makes Southend the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for Hartlepool.
- Where and when is Hartlepool vs Southend played?
- Hartlepool vs Southend is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at The Suit Direct Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.