Bury vs Southend: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Cup2nd RoundKick-off on December 1, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Southend?
Bury and Southend drew 1-1 on December 1, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 33′M. DohertyBury (pen.)
- 41′G. TomlinSouthend
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Southend have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2012 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Nov 20, 2012 | Scunthorpe(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Colchester(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Portsmouth(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Oldham(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2012 | Rochdale(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Nov 20, 2012 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 4-0 | League Two |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Torquay(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Port Vale(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 1.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Southend | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy