Bury vs Southend: result 1-1 and analysis
FA Cup2nd RoundKick-off on December 1, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Southend?
Bury and Southend drew 1-1 on December 1, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 33′M. DohertyBury (pen.)
- 41′G. TomlinSouthend
Official lineup for Bury vs Southend
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Bury
- LL. John-Lewis
- TT. Hewitt
- DD. Worrall
- PP. Sweeney
- GG. Wylde
- ZZac Thompson
- MMark Anthony Hughes
- JJoe Skarz
- MM. Doherty
- EE. Ebanks-Landell
- TT. Carson
Southend
- FF. Eastwood
- GG. Tomlin
- MM. Timlin
- KK. Hurst
- DDave John Martin
- MM. Laird
- CC. Barker
- RRyan Cresswell
- SSean Clohessy
- MMark Phillips
- PPaul Daniel Smith
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Southend have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2012 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Nov 20, 2012 | Scunthorpe(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Colchester(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Portsmouth(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Oldham(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2012 | Rochdale(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Nov 20, 2012 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 4-0 | League Two |
| Nov 17, 2012 | Torquay(away) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Port Vale(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 1.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Southend | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Bury vs Southend?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy