Bury vs Southend: result 0-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 39Kick-off on April 21, 2015 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Gigg Lane, Bury, Lancashire
Full time
What was the result of Bury vs Southend?
Southend won 0-1 on April 21, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 74′D. WorrallSouthend
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bury have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Southend have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2015 | Portsmouth(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Apr 14, 2015 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Apr 11, 2015 | Newport County(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Apr 6, 2015 | Morecambe(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Cambridge United(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2015 | Exeter City(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Apr 14, 2015 | Newport County(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Apr 11, 2015 | Tranmere(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Apr 6, 2015 | Hartlepool(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Bury win(s), 5 draw(s), 0 Southend win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2014 | Southend 1-1 Bury | League Two |
| Mar 15, 2014 | Southend 0-0 Bury | League Two |
| Sep 21, 2013 | Bury 1-1 Southend | League Two |
| Dec 11, 2012 | Southend 2-2 Bury | FA Cup |
| Dec 1, 2012 | Bury 1-1 Southend | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Bury score 1.2 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Southend score 1.4 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | 1.2 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Southend | 1.4 | 0.8 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy