Where and when is Busko-Zdroj vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów played?

Busko-Zdroj vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Busko-Zdroj vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

Busko-Zdroj

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

The Footlab model makes Busko-Zdroj the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Busko-Zdroj vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Busko-Zdroj (1,715) and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów (1,630).

Busko-Zdroj win39 %

Draw25 %

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Busko-Zdroj have 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Busko-Zdroj
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Star Starachowice(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Naprzód(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Moravia Morawica(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 8; Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Busko-Zdroj	1.6	2.1	0	6/8	6/8
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1.3	1.5	2	10/15	9/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Busko-Zdroj sit 14th in III Liga - Group 4 (5 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Busko-Zdroj	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	5	0	1	4	2	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Busko-Zdroj vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów?: The Footlab model makes Busko-Zdroj the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów.
Where and when is Busko-Zdroj vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów played?: Busko-Zdroj vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.