Where and when is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj played?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 4Group IV - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Lubaczów

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

Busko-Zdroj

The Footlab model makes Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Busko-Zdroj. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów (1,630) and Busko-Zdroj (1,715).

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win42 %

Draw26 %

Busko-Zdroj win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Busko-Zdroj have 2, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	KSZO 1929(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Wisła Kraków II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Naprzód(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	Moravia Morawica(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 1, 2026	Chełmianka Chełm(home)	0-1	III Liga - Group 4

Busko-Zdroj
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Star Starachowice(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 19, 2026	Podlasie Biała Podlaska(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 15, 2026	Siarka Tarnobrzeg(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 8, 2026	KS Wieczysta Krakow II(away)	3-1	III Liga - Group 4
Aug 2, 2026	Wisłoka Dębica(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Busko-Zdroj score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1.3	1.5	2	10/15	9/15
Busko-Zdroj	1.6	2.1	0	6/8	6/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów sit 18th in III Liga - Group 4 (1 points from 5 matches) and Busko-Zdroj sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Busko-Zdroj	5	1	2	2	7	9	5
18	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	5	0	1	4	2	7	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj?: The Footlab model makes Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Busko-Zdroj.
Where and when is Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj played?: Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów vs Busko-Zdroj is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.